Tennis · resolved market
ITF Luan: Junhan Zhang vs Rira Kosaka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x766bded559e6ba4ffd068dd1fe2a8fd1fba0916d12cbec1fc3c872c4da38b4e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Junhan Zhangof Junhan Zhang, Rira Kosaka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rira Kosaka | 31c | 1,506$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.24 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Junhan Zhang | 69c | 1,490$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.83 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Junhan Zhang | 70c | 1,095$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.62 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Rira Kosaka | 30c | 786.89$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.63 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Rira Kosaka | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Rira Kosaka | 15c | 406.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Junhan Zhang | 69c | 239.2$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Junhan Zhang | 72c | 210.91$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Rira Kosaka | 21c | 190.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Junhan Zhang | 78c | 164.81$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Rira Kosaka | 26c | 134.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Junhan Zhang | 79c | 127.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…96b5backed Junhan Zhang | 79c | 126.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Junhan Zhang | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Rira Kosaka | 32c | 99.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Junhan Zhang | 72c | 79.81$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Rira Kosaka | 28c | 79.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Rira Kosaka | 29c | 62.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Junhan Zhang | 68c | 58.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Rira Kosaka | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Junhan Zhang | 69c | 49.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Junhan Zhang | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Rira Kosaka | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Junhan Zhang | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…6477backed Junhan Zhang | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Junhan Zhang | 80c | 26.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Junhan Zhang | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.