TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tweets · resolved market

Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,064
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,064 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tweets
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0941…b254backed Yes17c318.65$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.251936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked No35c283.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5499410.6%105 W · 889 L-30.0wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-58.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No26c188.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2362539.5%247 W · 378 L+48.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7849…da97backed Yes35c93.49$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3534127.3%93 W · 248 L+1.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5f88…da69backed Yes65c73.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.031361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+50.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7df…0723backed No68c66.84$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.632020%4 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-48.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x564f…7026backed Yes21c57.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4131242.9%134 W · 178 L+21.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4616…a910backed No61c52.52$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.133670.2%236 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2225…bee7backed No73c52.52$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.344374.4%32 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+21.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No66c49.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0951018.2%93 W · 417 L-89.7wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-49.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes37c45.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8431743.2%137 W · 180 L+28.2wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+13.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed Yes54c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5410438.5%40 W · 64 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98ac…40d9backed No75c39.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.242864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2101…1549backed Yes36c39$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.861421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea12…993bbacked Yes33c36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9611045.5%50 W · 60 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes39c36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8712542.4%53 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d0…e8c6backed Yes33c36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2813259.8%79 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a4…58f4backed Yes48c30.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ef…df85backed No63c29.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.46742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x740d…2362backed No72c27.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58cf…8a72backed No67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.43447.1%16 W · 18 L-6.4wins-0.19per pick66cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed Yes58c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5811633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No78c16.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7214575.9%110 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick75cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.