MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. KT Wiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76b2a6e8b839d18e1351c287a4acf57a6d6307f54573f5527e5d6421424f7550
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof Samsung Lions, KT Wiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ab0…7147backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 1,498$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.86 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked KT Wiz | 42c | 633.93$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed KT Wiz | 45c | 516.86$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.64 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed KT Wiz | 52c | 500$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.16 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KT Wiz | 70c | 475.94$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.43 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Samsung Lions | 44c | 450.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked KT Wiz | 41c | 395.74$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.49 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Samsung Lions | 48c | 371.5$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.32 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Samsung Lions | 53c | 302.83$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.21 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked KT Wiz | 46c | 299.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.01 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Samsung Lions | 24c | 210.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked KT Wiz | 50c | 198.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.24 | 280 | 45.7%128 W · 152 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…6f6abacked Samsung Lions | 56c | 178.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed KT Wiz | 45c | 154.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.35 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Samsung Lions | 29c | 125.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Samsung Lions | 53c | 95.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed KT Wiz | 42c | 88.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 84.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Samsung Lions | 29c | 80.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked KT Wiz | 46c | 77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Samsung Lions | 40c | 68.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed KT Wiz | 76c | 67.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed KT Wiz | 45c | 67.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked KT Wiz | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed KT Wiz | 46c | 65.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…ccd2backed KT Wiz | 45c | 62.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 53.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…84e4backed Samsung Lions | 24c | 53.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Samsung Lions | 24c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed KT Wiz | 46c | 52.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 162 | 74.1%120 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked KT Wiz | 57c | 50.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed KT Wiz | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed KT Wiz | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Samsung Lions | 39c | 42.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked KT Wiz | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed KT Wiz | 47c | 39.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Samsung Lions | 53c | 36.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…85e2backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…3e0bbacked KT Wiz | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed KT Wiz | 42c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Samsung Lions | 31c | 33.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed KT Wiz | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed KT Wiz | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Samsung Lions | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed KT Wiz | 42c | 29.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed KT Wiz | 71c | 29.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed KT Wiz | 79c | 28.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked Samsung Lions | 56c | 27.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed KT Wiz | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…e1d6backed KT Wiz | 46c | 24.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed KT Wiz | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed KT Wiz | 49c | 22.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…c907backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f87…0d97backed KT Wiz | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1759…3a55backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 21.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…7420backed KT Wiz | 50c | 21.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3648…fd2cbacked KT Wiz | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…1083backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed KT Wiz | 71c | 17.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed KT Wiz | 71c | 14.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.