Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Washington State Cougars vs. Loyola Marymount Lions: O/U 150.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76bfd3107800c4aa745c16212694513bbb1c7ea6280b63af52f436dbeb0472a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 55c | 10,724$5,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,853.24 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 45c | 9,800$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,409.99 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 1,127$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.82 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 54c | 961.83$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.08 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 819.92$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.84 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 46c | 636.42$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.53 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 46c | 636.42$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.75 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 49c | 625.98$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.73 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Under | 55c | 396.54$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.44 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 55c | 360.85$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.38 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Under | 55c | 324.83$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.61 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 56c | 221.35$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.42 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…83acbacked Under | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 47c | 130.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 53c | 128.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 117.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 45c | 96.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…ea6fbacked Under | 55c | 79.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 51c | 68.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 56c | 51.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 55c | 45.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 45c | 36.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Over | 46c | 32.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Under | 56c | 29.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 55c | 27.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Under | 55c | 19.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington State Cougars vs. Loyola Marymount Lions: O/U 150.5this page
- Spread: Washington State Cougars (-1.5)Loyola Marymount Lions won
- Washington State Cougars vs. Loyola Marymount LionsLoyola Marymount Lions won
- Washington State Cougars vs. Loyola Marymount Lions: O/U 149.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.