La Liga · resolved market
Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76ef5b1ba4f438819ea1c5e5941c6e110e3c107518e3e36d1e57bf37af8d39b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 1,287$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.66 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e2…0d29backed Under | 48c | 780.53$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Over | 53c | 538.43$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.32 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 441.69$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.97 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 395.22$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.54 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 321.23$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.28 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Over | 54c | 313.2$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 9c | 209.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 52c | 202$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…718dbacked Over | 44c | 199.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 72c | 190.65$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 34c | 185.96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 42c | 162.65$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.09 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 53c | 161.33$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 134.57$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.69 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Under | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 96.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 76.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 71.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 51c | 61.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 26c | 49.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 55c | 48.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 52c | 46.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Under | 56c | 43.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 47c | 42.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 46c | 38.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 41c | 38.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 45c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 55c | 24.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 53c | 18.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Córdoba CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Córdoba CF (-2.5)Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.