CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: OLDBOYS PL (-1.5) vs RoundsGG (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x773811679bc7273394678bc629673bb17581e3fa68d90ab5cfa7952acbe9cd12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OLDBOYS-of OLDBOYS-, RoundsGG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca8e…ce7dbacked OLDBOYS- | 66c | 4,069$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.34 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked RoundsGG | 34c | 2,495$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.3 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked OLDBOYS- | 62c | 1,316$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.02 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed OLDBOYS- | 59c | 600$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x341c…f86fbacked RoundsGG | 35c | 533.94$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RoundsGG | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed RoundsGG | 34c | 475.01$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.5 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked RoundsGG | 39c | 360$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.8 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked RoundsGG | 36c | 340.31$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.51 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked RoundsGG | 43c | 300$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked OLDBOYS- | 58c | 259.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked RoundsGG | 41c | 259.08$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.3 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked RoundsGG | 42c | 246.68$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…c7d2backed RoundsGG | 44c | 237.53$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked RoundsGG | 37c | 237.32$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.81 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked OLDBOYS- | 53c | 185.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.41 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked RoundsGG | 34c | 152.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked RoundsGG | 36c | 144.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…74f2backed RoundsGG | 34c | 130.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…9aa2backed RoundsGG | 47c | 104.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked RoundsGG | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed OLDBOYS- | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed OLDBOYS- | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed RoundsGG | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed RoundsGG | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed OLDBOYS- | 54c | 28.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed OLDBOYS- | 54c | 22.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked OLDBOYS- | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: OLDBOYS PL (-1.5) vs RoundsGG (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe PlayoffsOLDBOYS- won
- Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs OLDBOYS- - Map 1 WinnerOLDBOYS- won
- Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs OLDBOYS- - Map 2 WinnerOLDBOYS- won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.