CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs OLDBOYS- - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x675bd1a6f77cd553b896dbe2e267fb5732e3f7e368f1a4f07ad6650d87a71b93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OLDBOYS-of RoundsGG, OLDBOYS-
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked OLDBOYS- | 41c | 2,437$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.96 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…ce7dbacked RoundsGG | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed RoundsGG | 45c | 1,198$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.4 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed RoundsGG | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed RoundsGG | 16c | 787.5$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed RoundsGG | 16c | 582.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed OLDBOYS- | 34c | 523.53$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.53 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked RoundsGG | 25c | 323.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked RoundsGG | 50c | 230$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.16 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed RoundsGG | 22c | 218$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed OLDBOYS- | 34c | 199.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.96 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked RoundsGG | 27c | 149.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked RoundsGG | 26c | 133.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…74f2backed RoundsGG | 29c | 95.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed OLDBOYS- | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed RoundsGG | 29c | 72.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OLDBOYS- | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked RoundsGG | 54c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f793backed OLDBOYS- | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked OLDBOYS- | 34c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed OLDBOYS- | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed OLDBOYS- | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed OLDBOYS- | 72c | 29.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed OLDBOYS- | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 152 | 77.6%118 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked OLDBOYS- | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs OLDBOYS- - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe PlayoffsOLDBOYS- won
- Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs OLDBOYS- - Map 1 WinnerOLDBOYS- won
- Map Handicap: OLDBOYS PL (-1.5) vs RoundsGG (+1.5)OLDBOYS- won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.