Dota2 · resolved market
Team Yandex to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x774cdd75ebdd639a6e0589fcdb6a53182eeb1f368dd0b52179f719216d7b4273
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d39…6053backed No | 20c | 2,005$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.42 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 78c | 1,490$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.38 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked No | 10c | 1,461$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.93 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…6e3fbacked Yes | 76c | 911.5$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed No | 23c | 703.57$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.37 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 10c | 555.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked Yes | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 24c | 475$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 20c | 298.88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Yes | 73c | 275.12$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed No | 27c | 261.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Yes | 75c | 245.6$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed No | 24c | 136.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked No | 24c | 51.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…f40dbacked Yes | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 447 | 71.1%318 W · 129 L | +27.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Team Yandex to win 2-0?this page
- Inner Circle to win 2-0?No won
- Team Yandex vs Inner Circle: Draw (1-1)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.