Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Phantasma vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7776d5551d49a9c67854266dd1068956ade80a10c2e8e889eb4ccd5eaef79a0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eintracht Spandauof Team Phantasma, Eintracht Spandau
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,349 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked Team Phantasma | 31c | 3,170$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.8 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Team Phantasma | 29c | 1,705$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.38 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Eintracht Spandau | 69c | 1,640$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.53 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Eintracht Spandau | 69c | 1,125$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.22 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Eintracht Spandau | 69c | 1,020$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.2 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Team Phantasma | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Eintracht Spandau | 80c | 935.08$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.61 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Team Phantasma | 31c | 884.89$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.98 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Eintracht Spandau | 72c | 860$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.8 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Eintracht Spandau | 77c | 833.78$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.71 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Eintracht Spandau | 75c | 685.5$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.71 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Team Phantasma | 11c | 661.28$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Team Phantasma | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Eintracht Spandau | 69c | 449$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.19 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Eintracht Spandau | 69c | 440$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Eintracht Spandau | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Eintracht Spandau | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Team Phantasma | 30c | 393.43$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.03 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Team Phantasma | 37c | 237.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Eintracht Spandau | 68c | 230.97$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.91 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Team Phantasma | 30c | 219.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 219 | 54.3%119 W · 100 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…85c5backed Eintracht Spandau | 72c | 216.9$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Phantasma | 12c | 214.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked Eintracht Spandau | 69c | 191.26$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Eintracht Spandau | 70c | 191$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 354 | 48.6%172 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eintracht Spandau | 74c | 173.67$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Team Phantasma | 32c | 161.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Phantasma | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Team Phantasma | 20c | 144.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Team Phantasma | 14c | 144.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Team Phantasma | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Team Phantasma | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Eintracht Spandau | 60c | 95.57$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eintracht Spandau | 69c | 92.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Eintracht Spandau | 72c | 83.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef1…add2backed Eintracht Spandau | 73c | 73.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 228 | 67.5%154 W · 74 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Team Phantasma | 19c | 72.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Team Phantasma | 31c | 67.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Phantasma | 29c | 51.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Eintracht Spandau | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Eintracht Spandau | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Eintracht Spandau | 65c | 47.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Team Phantasma | 32c | 45.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Eintracht Spandau | 74c | 32.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Eintracht Spandau | 72c | 31.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 409 | 59.2%242 W · 167 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Eintracht Spandau | 78c | 31.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…e115backed Eintracht Spandau | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Eintracht Spandau | 62c | 28.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Eintracht Spandau | 70c | 28.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2051…f9f1backed Eintracht Spandau | 72c | 27.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…aaa2backed Eintracht Spandau | 65c | 23.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…08ddbacked Eintracht Spandau | 72c | 17.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Phantasma vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Team Phantasma (+1.5)Eintracht Spandau won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team Phantasma vs Eintracht Spandau (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group HEintracht Spandau won
- LoL: Team Phantasma vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 WinnerEintracht Spandau won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.