Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Tsitsipas vs Buse
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x777ebc4ae657a4b89ca0feba108c2e7ccade5e22d3187d64663dc5e6190a39fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buseof Tsitsipas, Buse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Buse | 48c | 819.14$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.39 | 390 | 46.4%181 W · 209 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tsitsipas | 41c | 414.48$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.65 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tsitsipas | 49c | 379.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.52 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Buse | 61c | 237.29$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.59 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tsitsipas | 59c | 202.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.74 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Tsitsipas | 53c | 196.72$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.61 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Buse | 55c | 180.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 256 | 33.6%86 W · 170 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Buse | 41c | 178.56$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.35 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tsitsipas | 52c | 159.57$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.67 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tsitsipas | 44c | 144$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed Buse | 40c | 124.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Buse | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Tsitsipas | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Tsitsipas | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Tsitsipas | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Tsitsipas | 44c | 80.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc0…a921backed Buse | 54c | 61.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Buse | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 206 | 35.9%74 W · 132 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tsitsipas | 54c | 27.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Buse | 54c | 24.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Tsitsipas vs Busethis page
- Mallorca Championships: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Ignacio BuseIgnacio Buse won
- Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Buse (+1.5)Buse won
- Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Ignacio Buse: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Tsitsipas vs. Buse: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Tsitsipas vs. Buse: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.