Tennis · resolved market
Aix en Provence: Daniel Jade vs Martin Landaluce
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77b83219213c931b9395d9a27e0482b0efc448a8a7d398e156612cc3f1d113a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martin Landaluceof Daniel Jade, Martin Landaluce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daniel Jade | 12c | 21,417$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.1 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Daniel Jade | 11c | 4,621$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.02 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Daniel Jade | 7c | 2,429$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Martin Landaluce | 78c | 2,070$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.47 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Daniel Jade | 7c | 1,150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Daniel Jade | 11c | 907.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 40.7%149 W · 217 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Daniel Jade | 4c | 897.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Daniel Jade | 10c | 869.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.69 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Daniel Jade | 11c | 731.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.38 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Martin Landaluce | 76c | 685.79$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.79 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbb…c0fdbacked Martin Landaluce | 77c | 529.87$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.87 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Daniel Jade | 6c | 377.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 630 | 52.4%330 W · 300 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Daniel Jade | 3c | 359.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Daniel Jade | 26c | 356.32$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7099…7646backed Daniel Jade | 25c | 325.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Daniel Jade | 7c | 288.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…c66fbacked Daniel Jade | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Daniel Jade | 20c | 244.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 369 | 44.4%164 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Daniel Jade | 10c | 214.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed Daniel Jade | 9c | 180.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Daniel Jade | 22c | 176$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Daniel Jade | 6c | 166.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…5b38backed Martin Landaluce | 66c | 166.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 361 | 57.1%206 W · 155 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…1f49backed Martin Landaluce | 75c | 166.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 146 | 74%108 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 75cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Martin Landaluce | 67c | 142.83$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Daniel Jade | 18c | 138$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Daniel Jade | 13c | 115.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Daniel Jade | 16c | 102.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Daniel Jade | 19c | 99.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Martin Landaluce | 75c | 84.16$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Daniel Jade | 27c | 83.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 603 | 55.4%334 W · 269 L | +19.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Daniel Jade | 22c | 71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…36a3backed Daniel Jade | 35c | 57.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 547 | 44.4%243 W · 304 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Daniel Jade | 32c | 54.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…f413backed Martin Landaluce | 76c | 52.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8604…fd3abacked Daniel Jade | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Daniel Jade | 32c | 43.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Daniel Jade | 27c | 42.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 315 | 63.5%200 W · 115 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Daniel Jade | 31c | 39.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…5eeabacked Martin Landaluce | 77c | 25.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 230 | 73.9%170 W · 60 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Martin Landaluce | 80c | 14.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.