Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77f408afcfbc1824a0733f72f446b6665ab89feefce416a6e6eabd82072bd331
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tennessee Volunteersof Tennessee Volunteers, Mississippi State Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 9c | 2,197$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.45 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 13c | 1,205$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.51 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 24c | 1,094$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 6c | 798.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 76c | 685.17$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Tennessee Volunteers | 80c | 569.06$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.57 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 9c | 496.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Tennessee Volunteers | 76c | 328.11$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 76c | 221.88$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 5c | 220.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 9c | 212.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 25c | 200.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 13c | 187.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Tennessee Volunteers | 75c | 186$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 24c | 175.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 19c | 160.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 74c | 126.6$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 15c | 111.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 19c | 106.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 17c | 105.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 23c | 89.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 22c | 68.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Tennessee Volunteers | 76c | 63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 26c | 38.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…0b6ebacked Tennessee Volunteers | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3778…8604backed Tennessee Volunteers | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Tennessee Volunteers | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f1…6bc6backed Tennessee Volunteers | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 77cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…8b85backed Tennessee Volunteers | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe4…52d7backed Tennessee Volunteers | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e16…fe0abacked Tennessee Volunteers | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 77cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…be18backed Tennessee Volunteers | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsthis page
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-7.5)Tennessee Volunteers won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs: O/U 147.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.