NHL · resolved market
KHL: Traktor vs. SKA St. Petersburg
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x782e43286e91bfc1b8197f5eb1f45d5424a6ef5a4c1d3d2c9d524a5a5e87de80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Traktorof Traktor, SKA St. Petersburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,582 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9635…3b11backed SKA St. Petersburg | 47c | 4,635$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed75…536ebacked Traktor | 53c | 4,377$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa78b…78f8backed Traktor | 53c | 3,250$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5361…6432backed SKA St. Petersburg | 47c | 3,250$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…a3b9backed SKA St. Petersburg | 47c | 651.36$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…73ecbacked Traktor | 53c | 545.25$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.27 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…daa5backed SKA St. Petersburg | 48c | 414.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Traktor | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Traktor | 53c | 159.37$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed SKA St. Petersburg | 29c | 127.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Traktor | 52c | 116.36$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Traktor | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…2dadbacked Traktor | 53c | 107.88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed SKA St. Petersburg | 33c | 104.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked SKA St. Petersburg | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Traktor | 53c | 92.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 46c | 92.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Traktor | 50c | 91.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…7b98backed Traktor | 53c | 88.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…ebe6backed Traktor | 74c | 67.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Traktor | 66c | 56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Traktor | 53c | 48.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Traktor | 54c | 38.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 45c | 32.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Traktor | 52c | 30.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed SKA St. Petersburg | 59c | 30.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Traktor | 75c | 26.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedc5…5117backed SKA St. Petersburg | 45c | 25.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Traktor | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa08b…405abacked SKA St. Petersburg | 48c | 23.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Traktor | 68c | 20.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed Traktor | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Traktor | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Traktor | 72c | 18.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.