CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x784a1c610467ee82290ac71dad831f7429c1da91ac84c57f7c8ce94292e4bf1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof G2, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz | 70c | 2,573$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.87 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked G2 | 32c | 2,260$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.06 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed G2 | 31c | 1,513$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.95 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked TheMongolz | 67c | 1,234$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.22 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed TheMongolz | 69c | 999.99$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed TheMongolz | 69c | 916.69$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.17 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed G2 | 29c | 859.75$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.47 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked G2 | 32c | 750.35$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.92 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed TheMongolz | 71c | 706.99$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.03 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked G2 | 33c | 568.28$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.53 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked G2 | 33c | 315$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked G2 | 23c | 287.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed TheMongolz | 68c | 235.38$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.32 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked TheMongolz | 68c | 215.59$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked TheMongolz | 68c | 167.47$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed G2 | 32c | 159$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed G2 | 31c | 131.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…2862backed TheMongolz | 72c | 110.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed G2 | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6ac0backed G2 | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TheMongolz | 68c | 87.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked TheMongolz | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 485 | 66.2%321 W · 164 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed TheMongolz | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed G2 | 27c | 59.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked G2 | 32c | 56.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked G2 | 28c | 54.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c5…5878backed G2 | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed TheMongolz | 73c | 43.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…7bdfbacked TheMongolz | 73c | 41.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 75cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…8e60backed G2 | 30c | 40.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked G2 | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 213 | 43.7%93 W · 120 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…235fbacked TheMongolz | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed TheMongolz | 70c | 24.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed TheMongolz | 74c | 23.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked TheMongolz | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed TheMongolz | 69c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed TheMongolz | 70c | 17.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…2feabacked TheMongolz | 78c | 12.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.