Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi vs Chase Ferguson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78746a62fec3d1e0a4f64150d3b0397344b3d4788aa3f4b27a5a7b591d094098
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadiof Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi, Chase Ferguson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 64c | 420.86$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.86 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Chase Ferguson | 50c | 397.4$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.91 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Chase Ferguson | 36c | 299.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.66 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 49c | 200.41$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.21 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 57c | 75.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Chase Ferguson | 28c | 74.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Chase Ferguson | 31c | 70.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 56c | 59.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Chase Ferguson | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Chase Ferguson | 54c | 31.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Chase Ferguson | 57c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…b898backed Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 50c | 23.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Chase Ferguson | 50c | 23.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 50c | 21.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.