Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cleveland State Vikings vs. IU Indy Jaguars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x787f99dc7398e67a57b941e73ffc5aeb6d8bddaea10c334ff6ed6b5c439c5a5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- IU Indy Jaguarsof Cleveland State Vikings, IU Indy Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 46c | 2,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed IU Indy Jaguars | 54c | 1,344$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.61 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 47c | 1,232$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.87 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed IU Indy Jaguars | 55c | 1,006$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.79 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 53c | 854.86$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.4 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland State Vikings | 13c | 797.67$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cleveland State Vikings | 7c | 793.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed IU Indy Jaguars | 53c | 450$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.75 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed IU Indy Jaguars | 72c | 386.32$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.61 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cleveland State Vikings | 34c | 353$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.36 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Cleveland State Vikings | 47c | 350$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed IU Indy Jaguars | 53c | 325$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb0…4cd4backed Cleveland State Vikings | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cleveland State Vikings | 47c | 241.11$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.41 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed IU Indy Jaguars | 58c | 171.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.86 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 12c | 171.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed IU Indy Jaguars | 59c | 169.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 38c | 156.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed IU Indy Jaguars | 78c | 132$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cleveland State Vikings | 20c | 124.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8609…4897backed Cleveland State Vikings | 42c | 121.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -55%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cleveland State Vikings | 16c | 112.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 58c | 85.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Cleveland State Vikings | 50c | 84.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Cleveland State Vikings | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed IU Indy Jaguars | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Cleveland State Vikings | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Cleveland State Vikings | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed IU Indy Jaguars | 72c | 40.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed IU Indy Jaguars | 53c | 33.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed IU Indy Jaguars | 52c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed IU Indy Jaguars | 58c | 32.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…ff86backed IU Indy Jaguars | 58c | 32.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…e503backed IU Indy Jaguars | 58c | 30.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…46adbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 58c | 30.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe285…5754backed IU Indy Jaguars | 58c | 29.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Cleveland State Vikings | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed IU Indy Jaguars | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf9…9e8bbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 66c | 16.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland State Vikings vs. IU Indy Jaguarsthis page
- Cleveland State Vikings vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 168.5Under won
- Cleveland State Vikings vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: IU Indy Jaguars (-1.5)IU Indy Jaguars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.