Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul: Thiago Monteiro vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78b83fbf1608e11eab47eeae562f5deb9777fbba04819dc181e50e2a6c3f4526
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thiago Monteiroof Thiago Monteiro, Alejo Sanchez Quilez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 3c | 1,096$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…c376backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 9c | 999.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 32c | 712.74$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.56 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Thiago Monteiro | 71c | 702.79$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.81 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 30c | 507.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.21 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Thiago Monteiro | 59c | 439.68$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.32 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Thiago Monteiro | 61c | 400.27$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.15 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 39c | 395.1$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.66 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 43c | 372.09$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Thiago Monteiro | 58c | 321.68$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.11 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 48c | 208.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Thiago Monteiro | 77c | 173.64$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Thiago Monteiro | 78c | 154.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Thiago Monteiro | 52c | 116.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 42c | 114.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Thiago Monteiro | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 38c | 97.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 43c | 90.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…a602backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 32c | 85.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 195 | 68.2%133 W · 62 L | +19.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 35c | 84.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Thiago Monteiro | 58c | 59.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7b…46d3backed Thiago Monteiro | 74c | 50.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1db…fdb0backed Thiago Monteiro | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 39c | 40.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Thiago Monteiro | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Thiago Monteiro | 54c | 25.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 42c | 24.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Thiago Monteiro | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Thiago Monteiro | 65c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.