Asian League · resolved market
FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78d2d9f1d724331a1b2febfd82a20df0726e828657573532ec83f5609bdedf8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 59c | 952$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.68 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 56c | 946.82$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.92 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 40c | 931$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.99 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 72c | 771.24$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.39 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 6c | 740.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.73 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 41c | 661.29$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.73 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +10.6wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 236.42$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.26 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 35c | 224.49$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 18c | 120.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 65c | 118.03$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Over | 18c | 106.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.31 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 17c | 96.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 62c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 35c | 70.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 65c | 61.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 61c | 54.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Over | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 66c | 24.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…4715backed Under | 56c | 22.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul: O/U 5.5this page
- FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul: FC Seoul 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul: FC Seoul O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)FC Seoul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.