Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Borges vs Etcheverry
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78dab67faa7b155693230fee564fefdb6c12607a4abd0bfcc3273d96c3579975
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Borgesof Borges, Etcheverry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e10…b5cbbacked Borges | 42c | 1,297$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Borges | 47c | 1,043$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.16 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Etcheverry | 69c | 997.83$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.91 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Etcheverry | 67c | 907.95$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.89 | 208 | 44.2%92 W · 116 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Borges | 45c | 641.83$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.66 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Etcheverry | 54c | 582.63$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.49 | 132 | 37.9%50 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Borges | 31c | 522$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.18 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Etcheverry | 60c | 518.01$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.35 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Etcheverry | 55c | 323.54$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.98 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Borges | 47c | 308.06$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.95 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Borges | 31c | 217.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.93 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Borges | 65c | 212.96$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Borges | 31c | 172.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.81 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Borges | 44c | 136.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Etcheverry | 65c | 80.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Borges | 32c | 73.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Etcheverry | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Borges | 35c | 68.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Etcheverry | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Borges | 41c | 43.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Etcheverry | 54c | 43.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Etcheverry | 59c | 43.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 361 | 35.7%129 W · 232 L | -35.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked Etcheverry | 44c | 42.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Etcheverry | 58c | 32.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 234 | 57.3%134 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ea…d849backed Etcheverry | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 163 | 70.6%115 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Borges | 53c | 29.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Borges | 74c | 28.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Borges | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Borges | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Borges vs Etcheverrythis page
- Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas EtcheverryNuno Borges won
- Borges vs. Etcheverry: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Nuno Borges vs. Tomas Etcheverry: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Etcheverry (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)Borges won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.