Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Etcheverry (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8e8236af486d27633bed902ffddc04d1e4ade3eb9beffb1f43c98152322d550
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Borgesof Etcheverry, Borges
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Borges | 53c | 4,693$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.47 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Etcheverry | 47c | 3,584$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.4 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Borges | 57c | 448.24$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.89 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Etcheverry | 43c | 324.76$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.65 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Borges | 69c | 318.85$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.43 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Etcheverry | 41c | 236.64$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Etcheverry | 43c | 212.37$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Borges | 61c | 168.88$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.58 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…8206backed Borges | 68c | 144.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Borges | 55c | 79.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Borges | 56c | 69.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 323 | 33.4%108 W · 215 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Borges | 52c | 51.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Etcheverry | 44c | 41.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Etcheverry | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb5…f531backed Etcheverry | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…1d2cbacked Etcheverry | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Etcheverry | 45c | 29.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…1c8cbacked Borges | 57c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Borges | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Etcheverry (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)this page
- Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas EtcheverryNuno Borges won
- Borges vs. Etcheverry: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Nuno Borges vs. Tomas Etcheverry: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Borges vs EtcheverryBorges won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.