TailMyPicks

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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
CYBERSHOKE Prospectsof ex-RUBY, CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,034
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,034 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa0e6…23c2backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects60c4,103$2,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.935563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked ex-RUBY53c3,598$1,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.153,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects60c1,876$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.5955039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed ex-RUBY28c1,044$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.5672139.7%286 W · 435 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects33c945.22$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.1861034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked ex-RUBY43c876.15$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.2263157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects58c857.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.0914659.6%87 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed ex-RUBY46c734.06$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.91,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects56c654.31$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.943152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-RUBY7c300.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.913,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked ex-RUBY40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c7…4332backed ex-RUBY68c280.71$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.4217644.3%78 W · 98 L-17.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-RUBY49c255.76$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.423,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked ex-RUBY40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043237.7%163 W · 269 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked ex-RUBY68c199.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.998946.1%41 W · 48 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects53c192.11$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.252,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects30c189.68$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7818736.4%68 W · 119 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2764…ec08backed ex-RUBY64c181.11$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.911637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x499f…b72bbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects47c180.51$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8714544.8%65 W · 80 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0b3…b220backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects74c125.12$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.493271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects39c125$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.634,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects31c124$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.632,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed ex-RUBY38c120.75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.732,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUBY53c118.87$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.954,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed ex-RUBY60c109.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4993261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked ex-RUBY58c105.59$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.53354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed ex-RUBY25c102.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.382,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xaab1…9678backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects79c93.89$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.929760.8%59 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed ex-RUBY46c90.24$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3151942.2%219 W · 300 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUBY59c87.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.124,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects58c79$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.182,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects34c70$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.161,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects33c70$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.842,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c79…ddf6backed ex-RUBY53c69.66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.928664%55 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects34c65.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.562,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5227248.9%133 W · 139 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects47c63.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2677146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6525440.6%103 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked ex-RUBY32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.932,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked ex-RUBY46c56.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.972,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects70c52.95$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0367372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked ex-RUBY30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157834.6%27 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2072353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked ex-RUBY38c48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.051,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY47c42.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.126,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects40c39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.463,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee1…377abacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects50c38.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1621354.5%116 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects40c38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.995,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects40c35.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.052,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e89…2e8ebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects52c33.27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.876960.9%42 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked ex-RUBY45c28.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.715973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed ex-RUBY69c27.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1524558%142 W · 103 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa48…7e90backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects43c26.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x054e…51bdbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.151650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects62c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.887,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2c…9642backed ex-RUBY61c16.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2717444.3%77 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.