Other European Leagues · resolved market
Antalyaspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79925f6f98eab9d1b0380be5d755861c2450c80ee83abd82216c078028ad68dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 6,278$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.94 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 78c | 3,600$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 43c | 2,433$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.96 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 42c | 1,010$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.8 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 715.86$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.01 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 58c | 689.18$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.96 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb838…cf88backed Under | 16c | 618.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 19c | 574.65$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 27c | 416.13$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.68 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 29c | 261.04$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Under | 10c | 255.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf34a…b1a1backed Over | 80c | 215.24$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 10c | 206.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 21c | 191.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 40c | 87.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 41c | 68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 79c | 65.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…f3e0backed Over | 45c | 54.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 34c | 49.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Under | 61c | 44.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…58fdbacked Under | 60c | 40.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe45…f9a7backed Over | 44c | 33.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ddb5backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 58c | 30.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 59c | 20.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…568abacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 69c | 18.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Antalyaspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5this page
- Antalyaspor vs. Samsunspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Antalyaspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Antalyaspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 3.5Over won
- Antalyaspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.