Other European Leagues · resolved market
Antalyaspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8ad88268167c460604d58359734e898901e0935ab1eb92d3a3eb0c2ea123277
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 10,337$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,235.87 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 8,401$5,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,822.19 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 1c | 2,501$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 72c | 1,744$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.28 | 5,655 | 42%2,376 W · 3,279 L | +75.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 70c | 981.02$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.71 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 28c | 710.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 52c | 380.4$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.81 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 64c | 347.92$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.56 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 315.64$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.93 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037f…e61cbacked Under | 10c | 315.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Under | 10c | 255.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Under | 53c | 183.05$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 21c | 134.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.02 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb838…cf88backed Over | 56c | 106.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 103.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 30c | 73.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 72c | 63.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 38c | 56.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 64c | 33.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…98c1backed Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb0…d1bbbacked Under | 55c | 22.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ef…d91dbacked Under | 80c | 21.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…a8f1backed Under | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 78c | 13.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 2,588 | 52.1%1,348 W · 1,240 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Antalyaspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 3.5this page
- Antalyaspor vs. Samsunspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Antalyaspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Antalyaspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Antalyaspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.