CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Lilmix - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79e54adbcc778b6952475e0159918886cc43b8ce0f2dd114cd439dcf34cbc753
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Entropyof Entropy, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Entropy | 71c | 2,745$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.6 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Lilmix | 49c | 1,088$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.52 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lilmix | 7c | 454.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lilmix | 30c | 407.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.15 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lilmix | 33c | 180.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lilmix | 62c | 147.91$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.66 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lilmix | 33c | 70.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Entropy | 66c | 55.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Entropy | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…436bbacked Entropy | 61c | 47.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Entropy | 51c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Lilmix | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Entropy | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Entropy | 73c | 35.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Lilmix | 51c | 29.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Entropy | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Entropy | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Entropy | 61c | 22.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Entropy | 61c | 21.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Lilmix - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Lilmix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group DEntropy won
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Lilmix - Map 1 WinnerEntropy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.