CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Lilmix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16b7341bba42268c8771b54955132e0df6eedd25e6e85b79ce9f69de88812573
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Entropyof Entropy, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x242f…ee3abacked Lilmix | 0c | 17,098$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lilmix | 5c | 1,151$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lilmix | 33c | 962.24$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.18 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Entropy | 58c | 845.73$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.31 | 310 | 43.9%136 W · 174 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lilmix | 26c | 573.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.65 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lilmix | 39c | 321.84$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.27 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Lilmix | 43c | 292$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.56 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lilmix | 4c | 283.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Lilmix | 54c | 231.8$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Lilmix | 8c | 210$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Entropy | 77c | 193.95$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Lilmix | 24c | 175$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 395 | 40.3%159 W · 236 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed Lilmix | 33c | 170.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed Entropy | 54c | 142.45$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Lilmix | 14c | 90.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 896 | 30.7%275 W · 621 L | -64.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Lilmix | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Lilmix | 47c | 83.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 505 | 48.1%243 W · 262 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Entropy | 47c | 68.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lilmix | 39c | 60.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Entropy | 57c | 59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8c…500abacked Entropy | 50c | 52.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Entropy | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 264 | 48.1%127 W · 137 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Lilmix | 42c | 47.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Lilmix | 28c | 39.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Lilmix | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…a44dbacked Entropy | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Entropy | 60c | 28.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Entropy | 63c | 27.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Entropy | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Lilmix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Lilmix - Map 1 WinnerEntropy won
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Lilmix - Map 2 WinnerEntropy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.