Champions League · resolved market
Will Stuttgart beat Sparta Praha?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79fbf3e95787511c369ab65e86250218e4cfdb16fd3ed37e676ec6cffa960311
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 74c | 2,636$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.79 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 22c | 2,490$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.2 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 59c | 1,667$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.92 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 29c | 999.97$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.98 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…163cbacked Yes | 70c | 959.81$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14c…2a42backed No | 31c | 959.81$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 27c | 834.17$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.69 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…8f07backed Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 29c | 629.94$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.56 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Yes | 69c | 461.74$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…10d0backed No | 31c | 312.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +149%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…366cbacked Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 70c | 276.6$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.86 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 28c | 257.37$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.31 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…71acbacked Yes | 72c | 257.36$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…58f4backed No | 29c | 257$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed No | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…8a81backed Yes | 70c | 170$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x966a…5dabbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Yes | 71c | 138.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked No | 30c | 120$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb3…92e2backed Yes | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc1…ac1cbacked No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Yes | 70c | 73.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 29c | 65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -10.3wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 71c | 43.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf42…6dd9backed Yes | 70c | 31.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…35eebacked Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…e097backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stuttgart beat Sparta Praha?this page
- Will Sparta Praha beat Stuttgart?No won
- Will the match between Stuttgart and Sparta Praha end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.