CS2 · resolved market
CS2: BLAST.tv Austin Major: TYLOO vs. NRG
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a4151966390d8669adc5f81c563a4e4f57c55f6d124101feceaaac7c5699daa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof TYLOO, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed NRG | 40c | 2,106$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.62 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed TYLOO | 62c | 1,033$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked TYLOO | 59c | 510$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f2…74d2backed TYLOO | 59c | 341.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785b…c51dbacked TYLOO | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked NRG | 43c | 243.64$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.04 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed NRG | 77c | 210.81$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c2…7382backed TYLOO | 56c | 201.29$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked NRG | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed TYLOO | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed TYLOO | 71c | 114.37$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…b387backed NRG | 44c | 101.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…54c8backed TYLOO | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed TYLOO | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed TYLOO | 59c | 70.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…000bbacked NRG | 41c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed TYLOO | 43c | 59.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c0…c87cbacked TYLOO | 59c | 59.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed NRG | 48c | 51.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked NRG | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37c8…f919backed TYLOO | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbe…d7e1backed NRG | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13cf…4441backed TYLOO | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.