Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul: Donna Vekic vs Berfu Cengiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a44e30b6ea0ce2011c1c784341f53b80fc62bf99c5c6e01067d6eaeda8a6de3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donna Vekicof Donna Vekic, Berfu Cengiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Berfu Cengiz | 10c | 9,638$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Berfu Cengiz | 17c | 3,701$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.22 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Berfu Cengiz | 12c | 3,498$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.51 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Berfu Cengiz | 11c | 3,420$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.22 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Berfu Cengiz | 10c | 2,566$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.85 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Berfu Cengiz | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Berfu Cengiz | 22c | 2,205$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.54 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe435…549bbacked Berfu Cengiz | 18c | 1,811$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1740…529ebacked Donna Vekic | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Berfu Cengiz | 14c | 989.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.26 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Berfu Cengiz | 16c | 648.7$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.79 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Berfu Cengiz | 16c | 600.1$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Berfu Cengiz | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Donna Vekic | 80c | 505.89$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.59 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Berfu Cengiz | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Berfu Cengiz | 23c | 350$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Berfu Cengiz | 17c | 349.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Berfu Cengiz | 14c | 341.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Berfu Cengiz | 11c | 310.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Berfu Cengiz | 16c | 310.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Berfu Cengiz | 16c | 301.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Berfu Cengiz | 11c | 295.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Berfu Cengiz | 17c | 217.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Berfu Cengiz | 11c | 207.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Berfu Cengiz | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Berfu Cengiz | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Berfu Cengiz | 16c | 160$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 165 | 29.1%48 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Berfu Cengiz | 16c | 151.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Berfu Cengiz | 14c | 148.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Berfu Cengiz | 17c | 142.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Berfu Cengiz | 10c | 132.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 95 | 27.4%26 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1995…9921backed Donna Vekic | 77c | 128.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Berfu Cengiz | 17c | 104.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Berfu Cengiz | 10c | 104.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Berfu Cengiz | 13c | 100.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Berfu Cengiz | 14c | 98.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Berfu Cengiz | 24c | 97.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Donna Vekic | 76c | 97.71$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 257 | 63.4%163 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Berfu Cengiz | 14c | 97.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Berfu Cengiz | 23c | 72.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9d…fae5backed Berfu Cengiz | 17c | 69.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Berfu Cengiz | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Donna Vekic | 78c | 62.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f8…898ebacked Berfu Cengiz | 21c | 59.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Berfu Cengiz | 24c | 52.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 603 | 55.4%334 W · 269 L | +19.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Berfu Cengiz | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Donna Vekic | 77c | 24.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Donna Vekic | 80c | 12.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.64 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.