Fifa International · resolved market
Cabo Verde to score first vs. Spain?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a4610d274a19c1975fde7dc56ecc841291c2fc629fa4f367b0fffb344d5e9d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 5,044$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.7 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 10c | 2,834$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.91 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…dda4backed Yes | 9c | 2,217$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +228.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…69ccbacked Yes | 12c | 2,203$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 7c | 2,137$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.33 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 15c | 1,550$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 11c | 925.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 19.6%44 W · 180 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 15c | 783.47$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.52 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebeb…47b3backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c8…c328backed Yes | 12c | 581.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…720fbacked Yes | 9c | 565.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…753dbacked Yes | 15c | 513.08$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…dcf9backed Yes | 10c | 507.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71cbbacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5800…dd18backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2951…8f9fbacked Yes | 6c | 380$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadba…a35dbacked Yes | 13c | 378.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +179.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes | 11c | 331.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 308 | 18.5%57 W · 251 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 12c | 195.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd904…e16bbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3019…631ebacked Yes | 13c | 170.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c7…abe7backed Yes | 10c | 149.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e2…5c64backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea2…de87backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 20.3%25 W · 98 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 10c | 122.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…483abacked Yes | 11c | 115$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6785…98c3backed Yes | 12c | 105.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…23d2backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…ff5fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…b276backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef33…6be3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 32.6%30 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5d…24bbbacked Yes | 14c | 92.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fed…7d75backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…9517backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314f…7348backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cabo Verde to score first vs. Spain?this page
- Spain to score first vs. Cabo Verde?No won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Neither team to score first?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.