Fifa International · resolved market
Spain to score first vs. Cabo Verde?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95697777ac59304e3fd648da13175b9af731fc2f9793e9af9eacd2cb3a93b98b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 50c | 4,167$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.72 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 13c | 3,771$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,283.69 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 17c | 2,791$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.1 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 19c | 2,311$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.95 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 11c | 1,969$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 11c | 1,109$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.52 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 10c | 1,096$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.19 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 40c | 818.55$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.66 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 11c | 676.45$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.82 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 14c | 659.46$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.29 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked No | 11c | 565.24$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.22 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ada…aebabacked Yes | 69c | 479.92$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…9111backed Yes | 28c | 457.8$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd3…c142backed Yes | 73c | 400$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 11c | 372$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.06 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed No | 19c | 360$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.6 | 178 | 28.1%50 W · 128 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 11c | 357.68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.46 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…adbebacked No | 16c | 307.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.66 | 165 | 38.2%63 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 11c | 251.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 31c | 220.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.03 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 12c | 203.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.04 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 37c | 199$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.62 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 10c | 174$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.6 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11f…1158backed Yes | 76c | 159.22$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.16 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 155.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 10c | 149.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.98 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4450…b1bcbacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Yes | 68c | 146.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 21c | 128.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x269a…fe8bbacked Yes | 67c | 120.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 15c | 117.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed Yes | 77c | 104.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61de…ed31backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…719bbacked Yes | 62c | 97.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 52c | 95.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac2…be3fbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 68cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 69c | 82.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…3891backed Yes | 75c | 79.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…60aabacked Yes | 80c | 71.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 22c | 60.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9df…2feabacked Yes | 45c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…3922backed Yes | 72c | 49.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f8…131abacked Yes | 62c | 48.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 40c | 45.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…326ebacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13a…0fcabacked Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5053backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 201 | 49.3%99 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b6…4724backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac4…33f6backed Yes | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…55fabacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19c2…7407backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4b…1f22backed Yes | 76c | 15.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain to score first vs. Cabo Verde?this page
- Cabo Verde to score first vs. Spain?No won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Neither team to score first?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.