Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8749485df73312a2116c3a9395c7b2d8c3582bb47817470812e0f7bd49b14445
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 5,874$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,702.88 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 15c | 2,428$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.04 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 2c | 2,194$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.37 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7970…3595backed Yes | 2c | 1,226$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +801.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd2…e6d0backed Yes | 2c | 1,210$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.46 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ed…baa9backed Yes | 2c | 1,114$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.14 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +529.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 37c | 1,083$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.27 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 80c | 1,033$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.92 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd830…7848backed Yes | 13c | 800$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…4312backed Yes | 7c | 707.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.38 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…6f6abacked Yes | 11c | 568.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.49 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…423abacked Yes | 8c | 568.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.84 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 555.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.92 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff29…f008backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +157.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c94…6ba9backed Yes | 15c | 499.19$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.31 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 3c | 429.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.11 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63cf…94ddbacked Yes | 8c | 237.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.34 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d54…1ccbbacked Yes | 58c | 232.9$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd230…9b80backed Yes | 58c | 173.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…720fbacked Yes | 15c | 171.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.23 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd177…3205backed No | 24c | 153.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Yes | 15c | 132.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.45 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x817d…2527backed Yes | 16c | 121.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.21 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes | 26c | 96.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.53 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…1e0bbacked Yes | 16c | 96.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +167.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 61c | 82.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3361…d79abacked Yes | 30c | 72.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…0b63backed Yes | 15c | 71.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd662…aeb5backed Yes | 21c | 70.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…3678backed Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 32c | 44.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x238c…4399backed Yes | 71c | 42.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d4…d353backed Yes | 60c | 41.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 56c | 30.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…6b9cbacked No | 80c | 30.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes | 70c | 21.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…3327backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda62…4921backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Neither team to score first?this page
- Cabo Verde to score first vs. Spain?No won
- Spain to score first vs. Cabo Verde?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.