Tennis · resolved market
Cordenons: Matyas Fule vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a4ad0c3a5a443a1ea20299c9df3fbabeaa300891c2949ffb93da14cd1983f4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matyas Fuleof Matyas Fule, Thiago Seyboth Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x658e…d758backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 24c | 32,801$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Matyas Fule | 74c | 20,899$15,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,404.88 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Matyas Fule | 70c | 5,773$4,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.72 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked Matyas Fule | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Matyas Fule | 11c | 1,913$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.22 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 57c | 1,191$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.4 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Matyas Fule | 6c | 679.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.17 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Matyas Fule | 50c | 606$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.12 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Matyas Fule | 62c | 585.48$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.48 | 205 | 65.4%134 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 12c | 555.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Matyas Fule | 66c | 477.19$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…d782backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 23c | 437.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +13.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…a7b6backed Matyas Fule | 7c | 373$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.25 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Matyas Fule | 23c | 326.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.09 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Matyas Fule | 14c | 251.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.75 | 182 | 58.8%107 W · 75 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Matyas Fule | 60c | 249.51$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.61 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Matyas Fule | 8c | 216.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.18 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Matyas Fule | 52c | 200.14$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.62 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0418…8159backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 21c | 177.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 29c | 170.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 295 | 19.7%58 W · 237 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…9b78backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 27c | 165.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Matyas Fule | 33c | 152.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.44 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Matyas Fule | 68c | 138.67$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Matyas Fule | 22c | 135.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.63 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…fd50backed Matyas Fule | 49c | 133.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.72 | 164 | 67.1%110 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Matyas Fule | 12c | 101.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.69 | 244 | 40.2%98 W · 146 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Matyas Fule | 15c | 101.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 72c | 84.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 36c | 74.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…c928backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 24c | 71.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Matyas Fule | 46c | 67.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Matyas Fule | 33c | 63.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 63c | 61.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Matyas Fule | 60c | 43.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Matyas Fule | 28c | 36.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 55c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Matyas Fule | 50c | 22.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8318…34a6backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -30.3wins | -0.30per pick | 62cpaid | -51%equal weight | 23-0.24 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Thiago Seyboth Wild | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 77c | 16.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.