Lol · resolved market
LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Group
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a4c6ba4970d5587c76de015002ae08e7ac9a1d660ba965bf01e11a95d8f0b86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- French Flairof French Flair, TLN Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed TLN Pirates | 21c | 10,426$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.87 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed TLN Pirates | 25c | 1,468$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed French Flair | 76c | 1,409$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.31 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe14c…c2bbbacked French Flair | 73c | 1,289$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.38 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked French Flair | 73c | 1,061$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.97 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed French Flair | 75c | 1,000$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.85 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed French Flair | 73c | 971.97$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.96 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked French Flair | 73c | 700$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0805…1d14backed French Flair | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 372 | 52.2%194 W · 178 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked French Flair | 71c | 504$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.16 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed French Flair | 75c | 400.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.09 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…f7c2backed TLN Pirates | 3c | 336.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked TLN Pirates | 30c | 333.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…1361backed TLN Pirates | 28c | 286.17$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.39 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked TLN Pirates | 18c | 213.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed TLN Pirates | 27c | 206.08$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 489 | 51.5%252 W · 237 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…25dfbacked TLN Pirates | 9c | 185.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed French Flair | 75c | 165.79$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed French Flair | 73c | 162.04$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked French Flair | 73c | 155.48$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked French Flair | 72c | 150$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…f87ebacked French Flair | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked TLN Pirates | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 225 | 45.8%103 W · 122 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…e4c2backed French Flair | 75c | 101.85$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed TLN Pirates | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TLN Pirates | 28c | 99.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed TLN Pirates | 28c | 95.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…7298backed French Flair | 73c | 79.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked TLN Pirates | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed French Flair | 73c | 58.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked TLN Pirates | 28c | 50.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked TLN Pirates | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed TLN Pirates | 28c | 47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe358…6878backed French Flair | 74c | 45.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed French Flair | 74c | 43.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bf1ebacked French Flair | 73c | 41.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 692 | 47%325 W · 367 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked French Flair | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe45…f9a7backed TLN Pirates | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…0014backed French Flair | 72c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…d19dbacked TLN Pirates | 28c | 35.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed French Flair | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed French Flair | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed French Flair | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed French Flair | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.