Tennis · resolved market
ITF The Hague: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Diletta Cherubini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aa83e818e0134ae3867dc82f5a6fef2bbbe27a58e93c525f6833764478f5443
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diletta Cherubiniof Anna-Lena Friedsam, Diletta Cherubini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 32c | 7,201$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.09 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Diletta Cherubini | 68c | 6,804$4,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.08 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 28c | 1,763$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.55 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Diletta Cherubini | 66c | 1,420$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.77 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Diletta Cherubini | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 141 | 33.3%47 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 42c | 351.18$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Diletta Cherubini | 42c | 280.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.98 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Diletta Cherubini | 8c | 260$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.1 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Diletta Cherubini | 8c | 252.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.3 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Diletta Cherubini | 16c | 85.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.58 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Diletta Cherubini | 26c | 80.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Diletta Cherubini | 60c | 67.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 58c | 58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 57c | 52.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 29c | 36.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 36c | 29.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Diletta Cherubini | 70c | 25.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Diletta Cherubini | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42fe…b1d0backed Diletta Cherubini | 75c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Diletta Cherubini | 68c | 15.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 139 | 65.5%91 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.