Fifa International · resolved market
Will Ghana win on 2026-03-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ab459a1cec05fd09dcf2615e376b5d6773909991198cd869ac337de7eb6e683
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e49…dfe0backed Yes | 16c | 13,201$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 18c | 5,522$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.12 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 5c | 4,246$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…b282backed Yes | 16c | 3,048$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 18c | 2,483$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.84 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes | 15c | 2,045$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.73 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f84…e4b4backed Yes | 18c | 1,678$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 5c | 807.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…7eb1backed Yes | 15c | 676.91$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 15cpaid | +220.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…598fbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Yes | 18c | 558.94$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.61 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Yes | 4c | 513.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 7c | 477.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 117 | 24.8%29 W · 88 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 17c | 443.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 14c | 407.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 5c | 355.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 15c | 257$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc080…f9a0backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 6c | 241.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…b0efbacked Yes | 11c | 235.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 8c | 234$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Yes | 16c | 206.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9e…3fbabacked Yes | 16c | 162.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +47%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 9c | 120.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…cfb1backed Yes | 17c | 117.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdec5…74ffbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…91c7backed Yes | 17c | 96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe865…be8bbacked Yes | 16c | 94.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Yes | 18c | 83.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…31b0backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3c…b06fbacked Yes | 17c | 61.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df1…e624backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47d…2ad1backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 45c | 39.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ghana win on 2026-03-27?this page
- Will Austria vs. Ghana end in a draw?No won
- Will Austria win on 2026-03-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.