Fifa International · resolved market
Will Austria vs. Ghana end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x482bf89a48da770559ca4611840ea1799ca42cbff7631e269af844a6f779bc6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 7,177$5,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.85 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 26c | 5,419$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.63 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 1,692$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.08 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 1,344$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.75 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 1,129$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 11c | 956.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 160 | 16.3%26 W · 134 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 14c | 529.12$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…f90dbacked Yes | 24c | 386.25$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 79c | 316.04$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 23c | 299.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 23c | 214.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 6c | 185.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 183.32$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Yes | 14c | 149.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 14c | 143.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac95…5f12backed No | 79c | 127.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 104.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 100.29$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 76c | 78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 21c | 76.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 14c | 76.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 14c | 76.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 77c | 73.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8742…5e43backed Yes | 27c | 53.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b18…cbe3backed No | 74c | 44.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8870…5b95backed Yes | 24c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 35.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 77c | 19.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…4468backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +121.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Austria vs. Ghana end in a draw?this page
- Will Austria win on 2026-03-27?Yes won
- Will Ghana win on 2026-03-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.