Premier League · resolved market
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ada8d2189025e6b0259769ca2579537b59847b92708e2c6d0d09dbbc6b65308
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 6c | 8,900$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 365 | 63%230 W · 135 L | +32.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 7,153$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.52 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 54c | 734.62$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.55 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…31e9backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 48c | 609.1$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.56 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 29c | 501.33$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.56 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 12c | 440.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 6c | 390$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 51c | 368$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.32 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Yes | 20c | 213.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 36c | 193.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 52c | 181$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.88 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 52c | 151.25$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 11c | 125.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d14…c06dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 19c | 91.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 45c | 87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 45c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 20c | 52.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 26c | 50.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked No | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 77c | 24.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed No | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 48c | 21.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 161 | 36.6%59 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.