NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b18fb3eceb5f4abc8a4219bdf250a953f1586e5abfd756006725c32a2325f58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Predators | 45c | 1,239$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.11 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Predators | 46c | 1,004$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.92 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Avalanche | 55c | 923$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.35 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Avalanche | 54c | 518.4$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.46 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Predators | 45c | 493$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.85 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Avalanche | 55c | 463.64$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.64 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 55c | 379$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.55 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Avalanche | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Avalanche | 53c | 165.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Predators | 43c | 124.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…1af0backed Avalanche | 57c | 114.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Predators | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Avalanche | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Predators | 47c | 107.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Avalanche | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Avalanche | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Predators | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Predators | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Predators | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Avalanche | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Avalanche | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe7…90dcbacked Avalanche | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…463bbacked Avalanche | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Predators vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Predators vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.