CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b1e61da8f34308e6f24d9685d793830970b46889e32b1d80aaf84ec528c269b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atreidesof SPARTA, Atreides
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Atreides | 53c | 2,413$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.72 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked SPARTA | 60c | 690$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Atreides | 59c | 315.15$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.07 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed SPARTA | 41c | 221$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Atreides | 59c | 196.6$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Atreides | 55c | 151.81$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.98 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SPARTA | 31c | 134$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SPARTA | 54c | 131.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SPARTA | 52c | 98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed Atreides | 54c | 87.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SPARTA | 43c | 84.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SPARTA | 39c | 71.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…6be5backed Atreides | 49c | 67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked SPARTA | 36c | 67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Atreides | 38c | 51.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SPARTA | 35c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Atreides | 52c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed SPARTA | 46c | 43.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked SPARTA | 48c | 34.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked SPARTA | 43c | 29.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Atreides | 50c | 27.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atreides | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Atreides | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageAtreides won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 1 WinnerAtreides won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.