CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a18f0e71d2d4271b6b19c7d40d900b4e9ac8d17e128e16f387504a1e32f28d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atreidesof SPARTA, Atreides
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Atreides | 50c | 1,510$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Atreides | 51c | 1,072$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.65 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked SPARTA | 50c | 974$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked Atreides | 51c | 544.97$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.04 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SPARTA | 33c | 434.02$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.39 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked SPARTA | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Atreides | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Atreides | 68c | 360.93$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.06 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed SPARTA | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed SPARTA | 49c | 298.57$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.3 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed Atreides | 50c | 288.1$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.05 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked SPARTA | 50c | 284.1$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.05 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed SPARTA | 48c | 279.1$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.97 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Atreides | 75c | 271.1$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.02 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SPARTA | 14c | 253.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed SPARTA | 49c | 246.94$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed SPARTA | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49e7…d352backed SPARTA | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeae…a2fabacked Atreides | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked SPARTA | 38c | 192$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Atreides | 54c | 186.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.83 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…64b2backed SPARTA | 28c | 180.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed SPARTA | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked SPARTA | 49c | 162$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42db…3816backed SPARTA | 49c | 157$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked SPARTA | 50c | 145$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8072…c60abacked SPARTA | 24c | 140.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…0c9abacked SPARTA | 29c | 136.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SPARTA | 35c | 134.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Atreides | 76c | 117.87$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked SPARTA | 49c | 111.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Atreides | 77c | 110.14$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed SPARTA | 16c | 108.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa4…4a42backed SPARTA | 15c | 101$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Atreides | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SPARTA | 17c | 89.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SPARTA | 20c | 88.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…9488backed SPARTA | 47c | 84.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked SPARTA | 41c | 79.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435e…f153backed SPARTA | 18c | 67.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Atreides | 80c | 67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Atreides | 76c | 64.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd85…1d60backed SPARTA | 48c | 62.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed SPARTA | 31c | 55.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ac…2fb7backed Atreides | 72c | 52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed SPARTA | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Atreides | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked SPARTA | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Atreides | 71c | 47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked SPARTA | 49c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…d26dbacked Atreides | 51c | 46.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked SPARTA | 49c | 42.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Atreides | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f1…7b69backed Atreides | 49c | 39.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked SPARTA | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked SPARTA | 52c | 28.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Atreides | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed SPARTA | 49c | 26.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked SPARTA | 50c | 26.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked SPARTA | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdb…0d6fbacked SPARTA | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Atreides | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked SPARTA | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Atreides | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked SPARTA | 50c | 20.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8150…6bc7backed Atreides | 76c | 18.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…e289backed Atreides | 72c | 15.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 1 WinnerAtreides won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 2 WinnerAtreides won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.