TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Weibo Gamingof Invictus Gaming, Weibo Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,412
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,050

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,412 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x53ab…65aabacked Weibo Gaming69c887.98$613 inWon+$275.271,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Weibo Gaming67c343.34$231 inWon+$112.071,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Invictus Gaming31c316.34$98 inLost-$98.0639152.2%204 W · 187 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Invictus Gaming31c274.19$85 inLost-$8548852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Weibo Gaming72c205.29$147 inWon+$57.8329944.1%132 W · 167 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Invictus Gaming28c200$56 inLost-$5660538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f3…c784backed Invictus Gaming31c188.56$58 inLost-$58.094969.4%34 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3601…cd3fbacked Invictus Gaming33c146.74$48 inLost-$48.1412451.6%64 W · 60 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe10c…e7e2backed Invictus Gaming31c122.95$38 inLost-$38.1110842.6%46 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Invictus Gaming35c96.1$34 inLost-$33.6410749.5%53 W · 54 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked Invictus Gaming31c67.1$21 inLost-$20.842751.5%220 W · 207 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Weibo Gaming72c54.62$39 inWon+$15.2965063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Weibo Gaming67c41$27 inWon+$13.5360849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Invictus Gaming29c35$10 inLost-$10.158243.9%36 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Weibo Gaming68c31.25$21 inWon+$1024147.3%114 W · 127 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Weibo Gaming70c30$21 inWon+$92626.9%7 W · 19 L-6.5wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Weibo Gaming68c30$20 inWon+$9.641651.2%213 W · 203 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.