Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ollersbach: Vladyslav Orlov vs Tomohiro Masabayashi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b43f4218ae5c5e6b6cc8ea45b18f17c3e9b4d2c3538587332a4603bdd4d4d5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vladyslav Orlovof Vladyslav Orlov, Tomohiro Masabayashi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tomohiro Masabayashi | 22c | 8,600$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.2 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Vladyslav Orlov | 80c | 2,630$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.23 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Vladyslav Orlov | 72c | 2,536$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.08 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Vladyslav Orlov | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…af79backed Tomohiro Masabayashi | 46c | 434.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Tomohiro Masabayashi | 34c | 335.29$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6af1backed Tomohiro Masabayashi | 6c | 335$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 69 | 8.7%6 W · 63 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tomohiro Masabayashi | 28c | 301.66$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 79c | 284.86$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tomohiro Masabayashi | 34c | 271.13$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.87 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Tomohiro Masabayashi | 8c | 235.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Vladyslav Orlov | 65c | 230.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a7…33c4backed Tomohiro Masabayashi | 6c | 210$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Tomohiro Masabayashi | 27c | 196.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Tomohiro Masabayashi | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Tomohiro Masabayashi | 8c | 168.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Tomohiro Masabayashi | 27c | 159.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Tomohiro Masabayashi | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Tomohiro Masabayashi | 25c | 132$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 58c | 116.56$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tomohiro Masabayashi | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…f218backed Vladyslav Orlov | 73c | 92.69$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Vladyslav Orlov | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Tomohiro Masabayashi | 22c | 77.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…d8f4backed Tomohiro Masabayashi | 22c | 77.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Tomohiro Masabayashi | 22c | 77.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Tomohiro Masabayashi | 24c | 77.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Vladyslav Orlov | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Vladyslav Orlov | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Tomohiro Masabayashi | 27c | 63.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Tomohiro Masabayashi | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Vladyslav Orlov | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Vladyslav Orlov | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Tomohiro Masabayashi | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 74c | 32.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Tomohiro Masabayashi | 36c | 29.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Vladyslav Orlov | 72c | 27.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 74c | 23.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Tomohiro Masabayashi | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Tomohiro Masabayashi | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Tomohiro Masabayashi | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Tomohiro Masabayashi | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Vladyslav Orlov | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Vladyslav Orlov | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Vladyslav Orlov | 73c | 19.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.