Tennis · resolved market
ITF Maanshan: Marianna Shikhanova vs Anna Snigireva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b499159d322980e6172ec2d9a103e214872a1e06bda328715e5ddd61b4f4d58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anna Snigirevaof Marianna Shikhanova, Anna Snigireva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Anna Snigireva | 65c | 16,220$10,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,731.68 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Marianna Shikhanova | 32c | 2,880$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.48 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Marianna Shikhanova | 70c | 2,880$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Marianna Shikhanova | 31c | 2,863$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.77 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Marianna Shikhanova | 34c | 2,531$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.09 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Marianna Shikhanova | 24c | 1,779$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.44 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…c764backed Marianna Shikhanova | 58c | 1,505$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.48 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Marianna Shikhanova | 33c | 1,235$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.52 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Marianna Shikhanova | 29c | 1,140$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.06 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marianna Shikhanova | 19c | 1,088$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Marianna Shikhanova | 31c | 911.59$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Marianna Shikhanova | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 464 | 35.3%164 W · 300 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marianna Shikhanova | 20c | 721.87$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.15 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Marianna Shikhanova | 20c | 436.24$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.19 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Anna Snigireva | 46c | 402.17$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.17 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Marianna Shikhanova | 19c | 363$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Anna Snigireva | 80c | 350$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.64 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…dd64backed Marianna Shikhanova | 13c | 320.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Marianna Shikhanova | 21c | 306.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marianna Shikhanova | 29c | 227.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Marianna Shikhanova | 23c | 204.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Marianna Shikhanova | 35c | 168.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Marianna Shikhanova | 20c | 167.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Marianna Shikhanova | 20c | 154.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Marianna Shikhanova | 33c | 147.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Marianna Shikhanova | 21c | 136.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Marianna Shikhanova | 19c | 133$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Anna Snigireva | 56c | 123.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Marianna Shikhanova | 20c | 94.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Anna Snigireva | 74c | 69.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Anna Snigireva | 32c | 67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Marianna Shikhanova | 31c | 61.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Marianna Shikhanova | 19c | 58.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Marianna Shikhanova | 59c | 49.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Marianna Shikhanova | 61c | 42.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Anna Snigireva | 62c | 40.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…1ed2backed Anna Snigireva | 68c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Anna Snigireva | 77c | 37.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Marianna Shikhanova | 69c | 34.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Anna Snigireva | 75c | 34.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…18a9backed Anna Snigireva | 74c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Marianna Shikhanova | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Anna Snigireva | 80c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…6872backed Anna Snigireva | 44c | 28.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Anna Snigireva | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…b32ebacked Marianna Shikhanova | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.