Premier League · resolved market
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b8badf96da22334e0bd7cbe136797744cdd9a6c2575b0ffe828296a351bbedb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 46c | 3,155$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.2 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 2,491$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.22 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 2,056$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.24 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 1,896$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.33 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 72c | 1,375$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,197$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 50c | 989.41$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.64 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 52c | 598.14$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.68 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 52c | 548.29$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.11 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 41c | 363.63$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.54 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 79c | 330.74$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 50c | 310.4$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.2 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 68c | 148.63$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 147.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 32c | 146.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 39c | 128.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 61c | 125.2$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 108.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 48c | 105.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 18c | 99.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 49c | 95.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Over | 48c | 83.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 60c | 71.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 50c | 50.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 45c | 44.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 48c | 43.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 60c | 41.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 48c | 40.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 48c | 34.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Under | 52c | 34.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 50c | 31.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 48c | 31.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 48c | 26.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 48c | 26.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 202 | 59.9%121 W · 81 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 54c | 23.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 48c | 23.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 48c | 21.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…8027backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Charlton Athletic FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.