Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: by Owl Team vs Miposhka Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ba9bab00b28b636645206b2c302f7c12fce241058c33c6202f3c2f34091923b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- by Owl Teamof by Owl Team, Miposhka Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked by Owl Team | 49c | 683.08$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked by Owl Team | 19c | 475.84$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.43 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c8d1backed by Owl Team | 27c | 315.13$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.38 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Miposhka Team | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.72 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked by Owl Team | 17c | 261.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.42 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Miposhka Team | 10c | 215.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Miposhka Team | 49c | 155.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked by Owl Team | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…0705backed Miposhka Team | 29c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Miposhka Team | 79c | 98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…f2c0backed Miposhka Team | 55c | 90.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe657…b24fbacked by Owl Team | 40c | 58.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Miposhka Team | 58c | 53.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed Miposhka Team | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa652…4376backed Miposhka Team | 56c | 44.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32bb…8addbacked Miposhka Team | 57c | 43.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ca…f9e1backed by Owl Team | 52c | 38.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed by Owl Team | 34c | 35.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed by Owl Team | 59c | 31.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Miposhka Team | 53c | 25.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…ef91backed by Owl Team | 46c | 24.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…fe2fbacked by Owl Team | 44c | 23.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x830a…ba19backed Miposhka Team | 50c | 22.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: by Owl Team vs Miposhka Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: by Owl Team vs Miposhka Team - Game 2 Winnerby Owl Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.