Ligue 1 · resolved market
Exact Score: Lille OSC 1 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bcadd150945306bcecf95b2ad0bfdb2eb9c968a12ceb88b5cceb03eedf21ae9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 28c | 942$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 73c | 604.65$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.74 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 551.59$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.87 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 18c | 277.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7725backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 12c | 136$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 16c | 135.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 136 | 37.5%51 W · 85 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 49c | 40.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +525.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 40.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 1,441 | 41%591 W · 850 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd865…96babacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Lille OSC 1 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Lille OSC 0 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: Lille OSC 0 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: Lille OSC 0 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: Lille OSC 0 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: Lille OSC 1 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: Lille OSC 1 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: Lille OSC 1 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: Lille OSC 2 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: Lille OSC 2 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: Lille OSC 2 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?Yes won
- Exact Score: Lille OSC 2 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: Lille OSC 3 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
- Exact Score: Lille OSC 3 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.