South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bf94766d5decf4ba55743e2757506f56d860f3dc14ee7c2b51caea651ed022a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 17c | 3,503$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.93 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 17c | 2,837$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.29 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Yes | 13c | 1,037$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 21c | 997.59$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.02 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 10c | 964.89$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 755.4$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.4 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…e2fabacked Yes | 19c | 715.95$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 8c | 661.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7101…609abacked Yes | 20c | 437.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 4c | 368.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Yes | 14c | 296.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ac…0317backed Yes | 16c | 218.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 20c | 190.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 19c | 131.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 119.62$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Yes | 20c | 117.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…1e77backed Yes | 20c | 99.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 19c | 89.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9067…bfaabacked Yes | 20c | 80.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 80c | 80.03$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da5…c3d5backed Yes | 21c | 74.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…9332backed Yes | 21c | 68.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 79c | 53.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…6c62backed No | 78c | 16.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 80c | 14.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 76c | 13.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will SC Internacional vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SC Internacional win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.