South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Internacional vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24fc7cb3abac90782d0284b17cfdf7338ab2774383837b49518bf61257ba8825
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 37c | 2,680$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.15 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 2,190$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.3 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 1,155$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.04 | 5,821 | 45.4%2,642 W · 3,179 L | +97.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 866.55$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.27 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 477.1$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.98 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 54c | 381$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.98 | 1,323 | 42.8%566 W · 757 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 67c | 319.5$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Yes | 61c | 195.32$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 67c | 176.03$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.34 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Yes | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…18ecbacked Yes | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes | 73c | 125.33$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Yes | 28c | 102.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 41c | 101.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 1,557 | 45.1%702 W · 855 L | +19.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 32c | 97.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.71 | 191 | 33.5%64 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 27c | 95.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed No | 26c | 91.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 65c | 85.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 61c | 84.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 33c | 82.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 3,807 | 38.4%1,463 W · 2,344 L | -29.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 80c | 81.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 67c | 80.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 67c | 72.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 61c | 71.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 61c | 70.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 61c | 70.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 61c | 70.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 38c | 68.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 27c | 60.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 67c | 58.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 67c | 58.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes | 33c | 58.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…8488backed Yes | 33c | 55.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76a9…f96dbacked Yes | 78c | 52.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 68cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 60c | 47.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed No | 68c | 43.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…90fdbacked No | 68c | 36.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…651fbacked No | 64c | 36.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 33.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 1,465 | 56.8%832 W · 633 L | +55.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 66c | 30.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…7d5bbacked No | 67c | 29.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…b708backed Yes | 73c | 29.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 68c | 28.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 66c | 28.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5d…ef01backed No | 64c | 27.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 61c | 24.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 74c | 23.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 56c | 23.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 342 | 55%188 W · 154 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 61c | 22.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 66c | 22.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 62c | 21.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 76c | 19.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada0…200cbacked Yes | 68c | 18.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed No | 68c | 15.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Internacional vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?this page
- Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will SC Internacional win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.