WNBA · resolved market
Liberty vs Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c0aed993d58cfdb4810957013230b63f279930f856887fd25041a5c59b85670
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wingsof Liberty, Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Liberty | 9c | 11,537$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.74 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Liberty | 2c | 9,157$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.29 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wings | 24c | 4,001$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040.94 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Liberty | 1c | 3,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Liberty | 32c | 3,391$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.66 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Liberty | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.98 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Liberty | 76c | 2,635$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 75cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Liberty | 76c | 1,306$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Wings | 23c | 1,135$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.87 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Wings | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Wings | 25c | 816$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.86 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Liberty | 77c | 779.83$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.96 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Liberty | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wings | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wings | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Liberty | 60c | 408.61$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.17 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Liberty | 78c | 397.44$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Liberty | 13c | 316.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wings | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wings | 24c | 298$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.48 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Liberty | 61c | 284.61$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x062e…9747backed Wings | 24c | 250$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Wings | 25c | 234.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.15 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Wings | 22c | 199.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.95 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe69f…82a7backed Liberty | 68c | 156.19$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Liberty | 31c | 150.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Wings | 67c | 129.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Liberty | 79c | 127$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Wings | 44c | 125.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.83 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Liberty | 27c | 119.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wings | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Wings | 22c | 99.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Wings | 24c | 94.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Wings | 17c | 94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Liberty | 76c | 91.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Wings | 23c | 79.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Liberty | 75c | 76.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…7c3abacked Liberty | 78c | 64.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…1098backed Wings | 61c | 59.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd897…2621backed Liberty | 76c | 58.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db1…e434backed Wings | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc027…cd1dbacked Liberty | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f7…0d6fbacked Wings | 61c | 25.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Liberty | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…5283backed Liberty | 76c | 22.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Liberty | 61c | 22.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…369cbacked Liberty | 76c | 22.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…b67abacked Liberty | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff42…cc05backed Liberty | 76c | 17.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a7…7634backed Liberty | 77c | 16.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be4…13c1backed Liberty | 77c | 16.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Liberty | 78c | 13.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.