CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Lavked (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c12a598e89397b43ceb6817ce7a6b4cf1fe166a32a5695e5df6ff90ea17daa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof illwill, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe9…c6dcbacked illwill | 70c | 6,024$4,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,244.99 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 63c | 1,328$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.95 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lavked | 30c | 1,200$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.99 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked illwill | 71c | 1,134$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.47 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Lavked | 31c | 1,042$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.04 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Lavked | 30c | 900$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked | 68c | 847.6$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.41 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Lavked | 31c | 659.03$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.73 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lavked | 33c | 526.78$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.32 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked illwill | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Lavked | 69c | 499.76$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.66 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Lavked | 31c | 461.88$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.88 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed illwill | 22c | 460.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.41 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Lavked | 31c | 460.13$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Lavked | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Lavked | 29c | 397.73$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.43 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked illwill | 31c | 383.44$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.87 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lavked | 51c | 372.65$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.57 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Lavked | 31c | 362$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.78 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed illwill | 66c | 359.49$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.9 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed Lavked | 34c | 292.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.41 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…394ebacked illwill | 22c | 281.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed illwill | 71c | 276.79$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.52 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lavked | 31c | 271.46$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.42 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Lavked | 64c | 255.31$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.89 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed illwill | 74c | 231.52$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.37 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…d987backed illwill | 34c | 228.69$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Lavked | 67c | 219.97$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Lavked | 30c | 213.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.71 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Lavked | 29c | 212.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.98 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed illwill | 39c | 208.72$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Lavked | 31c | 208.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.63 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Lavked | 41c | 162.68$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.82 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked illwill | 29c | 156.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Lavked | 30c | 154.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Lavked | 64c | 154.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed illwill | 71c | 150.7$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed illwill | 59c | 150.43$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Lavked | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…8a83backed illwill | 47c | 145.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 151 | 33.1%50 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Lavked | 29c | 135.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.89 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Lavked | 64c | 130.42$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed illwill | 38c | 128.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lavked | 66c | 127.12$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Lavked | 31c | 125.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed illwill | 37c | 119.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Lavked | 27c | 110$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Lavked | 59c | 109.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lavked | 72c | 101.85$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4693…bf61backed Lavked | 45c | 99.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed illwill | 70c | 98.85$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.34 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…4176backed Lavked | 30c | 97.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.96 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfc…59e9backed illwill | 72c | 94.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed illwill | 50c | 88.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Lavked | 32c | 85.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Lavked | 30c | 84.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.01 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Lavked | 64c | 82.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed illwill | 30c | 79.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed illwill | 70c | 76.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Lavked | 72c | 66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed illwill | 57c | 64.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af2…8bd8backed illwill | 41c | 62.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lavked | 33c | 57.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Lavked | 67c | 53.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed illwill | 43c | 53.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lavked | 64c | 52.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed illwill | 38c | 51.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed illwill | 65c | 49.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed illwill | 48c | 49.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 123 | 68.3%84 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed illwill | 67c | 44.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Lavked | 68c | 44.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed illwill | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Lavked | 31c | 39.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed illwill | 70c | 39.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked illwill | 42c | 38.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…b351backed Lavked | 48c | 38.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Lavked | 46c | 36.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…6221backed illwill | 54c | 35.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Lavked | 34c | 33.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Lavked | 60c | 33.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Lavked | 45c | 31.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed illwill | 68c | 30.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff38…1d79backed Lavked | 65c | 30.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked illwill | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Lavked | 52c | 28.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…d8d8backed Lavked | 69c | 28.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked illwill | 70c | 28.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Lavked | 79c | 24.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…bb75backed Lavked | 60c | 20.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…8602backed illwill | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Lavked (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Lavked - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Lavked - Map 2 WinnerLavked won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.